Mar 9, 2025
IndexBox has just published a new report: Africa - Household And Sanitary Articles of Paper - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights.
The African paper market is set to see a significant increase in consumption over the next decade, with market volume expected to reach 21M tons and market value to hit $51.1B by the end of 2035. This growth is fueled by the rising demand for household and sanitary paper products in the region.
Market Forecast
Driven by increasing demand for household and sanitary articles of paper in Africa, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next decade. Market performance is forecast to decelerate, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +1.7% for the period from 2024 to 2035, which is projected to bring the market volume to 21M tons by the end of 2035.
In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +2.8% for the period from 2024 to 2035, which is projected to bring the market value to $51.1B (in nominal wholesale prices) by the end of 2035.
Consumption
Africa's Consumption of Household and Sanitary Articles of Paper
Consumption of household and sanitary articles of paper fell modestly to 18M tons in 2024, almost unchanged from the previous year's figure. The total consumption indicated a measured expansion from 2013 to 2024: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +3.3% over the last eleven years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2024 figures, consumption decreased by -0.6% against 2021 indices. The volume of consumption peaked at 18M tons in 2021; however, from 2022 to 2024, consumption failed to regain momentum.
The revenue of the market for household and sanitary articles of paper in Africa reduced slightly to $37.7B in 2024, leveling off at the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). The market value increased at an average annual rate of +2.4% over the period from 2013 to 2024; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. Over the period under review, the market attained the maximum level at $37.8B in 2023, and then reduced slightly in the following year.
Consumption By Country
The countries with the highest volumes of consumption in 2024 were Nigeria (2.5M tons), Ethiopia (2.2M tons) and Democratic Republic of the Congo (1.7M tons), together comprising 37% of total consumption.
From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of paper, amongst the key consuming countries, was attained by Democratic Republic of the Congo (with a CAGR of +7.4%), while paper for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
In value terms, Ethiopia ($6.3B), Nigeria ($5B) and Egypt ($2.7B) were the countries with the highest levels of market value in 2024, with a combined 37% share of the total market. Democratic Republic of the Congo, Tanzania, South Africa, Uganda, Algeria, Madagascar and Morocco lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 25%.
In terms of the main consuming countries, Uganda, with a CAGR of +7.0%, saw the highest growth rate of market size over the period under review, while paper for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
The countries with the highest levels of household and sanitary articles of paper per capita consumption in 2024 were Ethiopia (18 kg per person), Democratic Republic of the Congo (17 kg per person) and Uganda (17 kg per person).
From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of paper, amongst the key consuming countries, was attained by Democratic Republic of the Congo (with a CAGR of +4.1%), while paper for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
Production
Africa's Production of Household and Sanitary Articles of Paper
In 2024, approx. 18M tons of household and sanitary articles of paper were produced in Africa; approximately mirroring 2023 figures. The total production indicated a moderate increase from 2013 to 2024: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +3.4% over the last eleven-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2024 figures, production decreased by -0.6% against 2021 indices. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2017 with an increase of 22% against the previous year. The volume of production peaked at 18M tons in 2021; however, from 2022 to 2024, production remained at a lower figure.
In value terms, production of household and sanitary articles of paper amounted to $36.8B in 2024 estimated in export price. The total output value increased at an average annual rate of +2.2% from 2013 to 2024; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 with an increase of 23%. The level of production peaked at $36.9B in 2022; however, from 2023 to 2024, production stood at a somewhat lower figure.
Production By Country
The countries with the highest volumes of production in 2024 were Nigeria (2.5M tons), Ethiopia (2.2M tons) and Democratic Republic of the Congo (1.7M tons), together accounting for 37% of total production.
From 2013 to 2024, the biggest increases were recorded for Democratic Republic of the Congo (with a CAGR of +7.4%), while paper for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
Imports
Africa's Imports of Household and Sanitary Articles of Paper
In 2024, the amount of household and sanitary articles of paper imported in Africa contracted modestly to 127K tons, with a decrease of -1.9% compared with 2023 figures. In general, imports showed a deep downturn. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 with an increase of 9.9% against the previous year. The volume of import peaked at 368K tons in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2024, imports remained at a lower figure.
In value terms, imports of household and sanitary articles of paper dropped to $262M in 2024. Over the period under review, imports continue to indicate a deep downturn. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 with an increase of 17%. The level of import peaked at $547M in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2024, imports failed to regain momentum.
Imports By Country
In 2024, Morocco (16K tons), followed by Ghana (8.9K tons), Botswana (8.2K tons), South Africa (7.2K tons), Namibia (6.9K tons) and Democratic Republic of the Congo (5.8K tons) represented the main importers of household and sanitary articles of paper, together mixing up 42% of total imports. The following importers - Libya (5.2K tons), Zimbabwe (4.6K tons), Congo (4.1K tons) and Mozambique (3.9K tons) - together made up 14% of total imports.
From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the key importing countries, was attained by Zimbabwe (with a CAGR of +17.3%), while imports for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
In value terms, Morocco ($45M) constitutes the largest market for imported household and sanitary articles of paper in Africa, comprising 17% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was held by Botswana ($18M), with a 6.8% share of total imports. It was followed by Namibia, with a 5.6% share.
From 2013 to 2024, the average annual growth rate of value in Morocco amounted to -7.4%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Botswana (+1.7% per year) and Namibia (+1.7% per year).
Import Prices By Country
The import price in Africa stood at $2,066 per ton in 2024, shrinking by -6% against the previous year. Over the period from 2013 to 2024, it increased at an average annual rate of +3.0%. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 an increase of 47% against the previous year. Over the period under review, import prices attained the peak figure at $2,197 per ton in 2023, and then fell in the following year.
There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2024, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Morocco ($2,720 per ton), while Ghana ($739 per ton) was amongst the lowest.
From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Ghana (+6.1%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
Exports
Africa's Exports of Household and Sanitary Articles of Paper
In 2024, after two years of decline, there was significant growth in shipments abroad of household and sanitary articles of paper, when their volume increased by 5.7% to 86K tons. Over the period under review, exports, however, recorded a abrupt decline. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2021 when exports increased by 10%. Over the period under review, the exports of attained the peak figure at 181K tons in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2024, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.
In value terms, exports of household and sanitary articles of paper reached $175M in 2024. Overall, exports, however, continue to indicate a abrupt downturn. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2021 with an increase of 11%. The level of export peaked at $370M in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2024, the exports remained at a lower figure.
Exports By Country
South Africa (33K tons) and Egypt (25K tons) represented roughly 67% of total exports in 2024. Togo (6.8K tons) took an 8% share (based on physical terms) of total exports, which put it in second place, followed by Cote d'Ivoire (5.9%), Ghana (5.5%) and Kenya (5.2%). The following exporters - Algeria (3.1K tons) and Tunisia (1.3K tons) - together made up 5.1% of total exports.
From 2013 to 2024, the biggest increases were recorded for Togo (with a CAGR of +61.4%), while shipments for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
In value terms, the largest household and sanitary articles of paper supplying countries in Africa were South Africa ($71M), Egypt ($60M) and Cote d'Ivoire ($12M), together comprising 82% of total exports. Kenya, Algeria, Togo, Tunisia and Ghana lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 14%.
In terms of the main exporting countries, Togo, with a CAGR of +35.5%, saw the highest growth rate of the value of exports, over the period under review, while shipments for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
Export Prices By Country
The export price in Africa stood at $2,040 per ton in 2024, declining by -4.8% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export price, however, showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2015 an increase of 12%. Over the period under review, the export prices reached the peak figure at $2,142 per ton in 2023, and then declined modestly in the following year.
There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major exporting countries. In 2024, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Cote d'Ivoire ($2,460 per ton), while Togo ($517 per ton) was amongst the lowest.
From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Tunisia (+3.0%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform
